Re: ANAB Draft For Comments
Posted: Tue May 21, 2019 6:09 am
My cynical observation is that policy makers seem to think all science is the same. The fact is that all science is NOT the same. There are "exact sciences" in which measurement is critical (astronomy, chemistry, physics, etc., and please don't be pedantic and tell me "but none of those are exact"). There are "descriptive sciences" in which descriptions are critical and measurements are less important (zoology, for example, or ornithology -- how can you define the difference between a mockingbird and a cardinal using statistics without description?) And there are "applied sciences" in which we solve real world problems using a version of "the scientific method."
Carl Hempel defined science as the application of validated natural laws to provide explanations and make predictions. That, my friends, is exactly what we do as fingerprint experts. We apply the "laws" of biological uniqueness (formation of friction skin, morphology of friction skin, etc.) through an understanding of biology, not of statistics, and we apply the "law" of reproducibility in understanding the transfer of some part of that uniqueness in every touch when a medium is present to record that transfer. It may not be "exact" and it may be largely subjective, but neither of those descriptors means that we are inaccurate or unreliable. Perfect, no. But accurate and reliable, yes!
Our quandary right now is that the academicians have horned in as "experts" in applied science when, in fact, the are stepping outside their roles as theoretical scientists who practice and teach in academia. They seem to have partnered up with the defense community, which has largely always been critical of forensic science. As practitioners of applied science, our credentials have lost value relative to theirs in the eyes of the lawyers and officials who are currently directing and controlling our future.
I'm pretty sure the long term implication of our current predicament is that we simply must adopt a degree of statistical analysis that is unwarranted in the actual practice of fingerprint comparison. I don't like it, but there it is. We are being directed by non-practitioners over whom we have little power.
Cynical. That's me.