Confirmation Bias Study on Experienced Examiners
Posted: Thu Sep 15, 2005 10:13 am
http://www.newscientist.com/article/mg18725174.500
Examiners' objectivity called into question
Fingerprint examiners can be heavily influenced by external factors when making judgements, according to research in which examiners were duped into thinking matching prints actually came from different people.
The study, by Itiel Dror and Ailsa Péron at the University of Southampton, UK, suggests that subjective bias can creep into situations in which a match between two prints is ambiguous. So influential can this bias be that experts may contradict evidence they have previously given in court. "I think it's pretty damning," says Simon Cole, a critic of fingerprint evidence at the University of California, Irvine.
Dror and Péron arranged for five fingerprint examiners to determine whether a "latent" print matched an inked exemplar obtained from a suspect. A latent print is an impression left at a crime scene and visualised by a technique such a dusting. The examiners were also told by a colleague that these prints were the same ones that had notoriously and incorrectly been matched by FBI fingerprint examiners last year in the investigation into the Madrid bombings. That mismatch led to Portland lawyer Brandon Mayfield being incorrectly identified as one of the bombers.
What the three examiners didn't know was that the prints were not from the bombing case at all. Each pair of prints, different for each examiner, had previously been presented in court by that same expert as a definite match.
Yet in the experiment only one of the experts correctly deemed their pair as matches. "The other four participants changed their identification decision from the original decision they themselves had made five years earlier," says Dror. Three claimed the pair were a definite mismatch, while the fourth said there was insufficient information to make a definite decision. Dror will present the results at the Biometrics 2005 conference in London next month.
One solution, says Cole, might be for each forensics lab to have an independent official who distributes evidence anonymously to the forensic scientists. This would help to rule out any external case-related influences by forcing the scientists to work in isolation, knowing no more about each case than is necessary. At the moment fingerprint examiners asked to verify decisions made by their colleagues do not receive the evidence "blind". They already know the decision colleagues have made.
Paul Chamberlain, a fingerprint examiner with the UK Forensic Science Service who has more than 23 years experience, says: "The FSS was aware of the need for a more robust scientific approach for fingerprint comparison." But he questions the relevance of the expert study. "The bias is unusual and it is, in effect, an artificial scenario," he says.
Examiners' objectivity called into question
Fingerprint examiners can be heavily influenced by external factors when making judgements, according to research in which examiners were duped into thinking matching prints actually came from different people.
The study, by Itiel Dror and Ailsa Péron at the University of Southampton, UK, suggests that subjective bias can creep into situations in which a match between two prints is ambiguous. So influential can this bias be that experts may contradict evidence they have previously given in court. "I think it's pretty damning," says Simon Cole, a critic of fingerprint evidence at the University of California, Irvine.
Dror and Péron arranged for five fingerprint examiners to determine whether a "latent" print matched an inked exemplar obtained from a suspect. A latent print is an impression left at a crime scene and visualised by a technique such a dusting. The examiners were also told by a colleague that these prints were the same ones that had notoriously and incorrectly been matched by FBI fingerprint examiners last year in the investigation into the Madrid bombings. That mismatch led to Portland lawyer Brandon Mayfield being incorrectly identified as one of the bombers.
What the three examiners didn't know was that the prints were not from the bombing case at all. Each pair of prints, different for each examiner, had previously been presented in court by that same expert as a definite match.
Yet in the experiment only one of the experts correctly deemed their pair as matches. "The other four participants changed their identification decision from the original decision they themselves had made five years earlier," says Dror. Three claimed the pair were a definite mismatch, while the fourth said there was insufficient information to make a definite decision. Dror will present the results at the Biometrics 2005 conference in London next month.
One solution, says Cole, might be for each forensics lab to have an independent official who distributes evidence anonymously to the forensic scientists. This would help to rule out any external case-related influences by forcing the scientists to work in isolation, knowing no more about each case than is necessary. At the moment fingerprint examiners asked to verify decisions made by their colleagues do not receive the evidence "blind". They already know the decision colleagues have made.
Paul Chamberlain, a fingerprint examiner with the UK Forensic Science Service who has more than 23 years experience, says: "The FSS was aware of the need for a more robust scientific approach for fingerprint comparison." But he questions the relevance of the expert study. "The bias is unusual and it is, in effect, an artificial scenario," he says.